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53.8M views
"I realized the other day...they need electricity... they need double what we have right now"
8.7M views
Virtually nobody is pricing in what's coming in AI.
I wrote an essay series on the AGI strategic picture: from the trendlines in deep learning and counting the OOMs, to the international situation and The Project.
SITUATIONAL AWARENESS: The Decade Ahead
7.7M views
AGI by 2027 is strikingly plausible.
That doesn’t require believing in sci-fi; it just requires believing in straight lines on a graph.
1M views
Really great to see pre-deployment AI risk evals like this starting to happen
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🔥 Top post: "I realized the other day...they need electricity... they need d · 53.8M views
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🔥 Top post
"I realized the other day...they need electricity... they need double what we have right now"
If we got models that could automate AI research, we could:
- Run 100 million copies
- Soon at 10x+ human speed (and with many other advantages)
Once we get AGI, we might be less than a year from superintelligence—simply via automated re…
The trillion-dollar cluster will take >20% of current US electricity production.
AGI by 2027 is strikingly plausible.
That doesn’t require believing in sci-fi; it just requires believing in straight lines on a graph.
Apparently this episode made Dwarkesh’s editor quit because the AI discussion stressed him out too much.
Enjoy!
Full series as PDF: https://t.co/sVfNoriSoW
Read online:
Virtually nobody is pricing in what's coming in AI.
I wrote an essay series on the AGI strategic picture: from the trendlines in deep learning and counting the OOMs, to the international situation and The Project.
SITUATIONAL AWARENESS: …
One year since GPT-4 release. Hope you all enjoyed some time to relax; it’ll have been the slowest 12 months of AI progress for quite some time to come.
RLHF works great for today's models. But aligning future superhuman models will present fundamentally new challenges.
We need new approaches + scientific understanding.
New researchers can make enormous contributions—and we want to fund …
💡 Facts
🕵️ Fake follower check
Estimated- Est. 93% real, active audience · Low fake-follower risk.
- Strong engagement (~2.2× of followers engage each post) — an active, real audience.
- Organic base — far more followers than accounts it follows.
- Verified account.
- Established account (11+ years old).
- 0.94% engagement — below the ~14.4% typical for this size.
Heuristic estimate from engagement, follower ratios, account age & growth — a screening signal, not a guarantee.
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🔀 Audience overlap
EstimatedEstimated shared audience with similar creators — useful for avoiding overlap (or doubling down) when planning a campaign.
Blog do Noblat
18%
Drashti Dhami
18%
Elias Nerlich
18%
COLETHEMAN
15%
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15%
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