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4.9M views
BREAKING: 🇦🇷 Javier Milei has won the Argentine Presidential Election.
Milei becomes the world's first libertarian president.
4.6M views
#Latest @NateSilver538 forecast (9/5)
Chance of winning
🟥 Trump: 60.1% (highest since 7/30)
🟦 Harris: 39.7%
——
Swing States: chance of winning
Pennsylvania - 🔴 Trump 61-39%
Arizona - 🔴 Trump 73-27%
North Carolina - 🔴 Trump 73-27%
Georgia - 🔴 Trump 65-35%
Nevada - 🔴
3.8M views
Latest @NateSilver538 forecast (9/3)
Chance of winning
🟥 Trump: 56.7% (highest since 7/31)
🟦 Harris: 43.0%
——
Swing States: chance of winning
Pennsylvania - 🔴 Trump 57-43%
Georgia - 🔴 Trump 64-36%
Arizona - 🔴 Trump 67-33%
North Carolina - 🔴 Trump 70-30%
Nevada - 🔴
3.2M views
.@Polymarket - Swing States Odds
PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump: 67% (new high)
🟦 Biden: 33%
—
WISCONSIN
🟥 Trump: 65% (new high)
🟦 Biden: 35%
—
MICHIGAN
🟥 Trump: 61% (new high)
🟦 Biden: 39%
—
ARIZONA
🟥 Trump: 78% (new high)
🟦 Biden: 22%
—
NEVADA
🟥 Trump: 79%
🟦 Biden: 21%
📊 Post performance
🔥 Top post: BREAKING: 🇦🇷 Javier Milei has won the Argentine Presidential Ele · 4.9M views
📊 Activity & format
Recent posts
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🔥 Top post
BREAKING: 🇦🇷 Javier Milei has won the Argentine Presidential Election.
Milei becomes the world's first libertarian president.
Gallup: % of Americans who are satisfied with the way things are going in U.S. right now
🔵 Democrats - 0% (lowest ever)
🔴 Republicans - 76%
The 76-point partisan gap is the largest Gallup has measured on this question.
NYC POLL: For the first time, Mamdani leads Cuomo in RCV Final Round
🔵 Zohran Mamdani: 52 (+6)
🔵 Andrew Cuomo: 48% (-6)
——
White: Mamdani 61-39
Black: Cuomo 62-38%
Hispanic: Cuomo 60-40%
Asian: Mamdani 79-21%
---
Men: Mamdani 56-44%
Wome…
CBS News poll: Large majority of viewers approve of Donald Trump's speech (among speech watchers)
🟢 Approve: 76% (+53)
🔴 Disapprove: 23%
https://t.co/qb27ivfUTD
#NEW - Swing States Polling by AtlasIntel (November 1-2, LVs)
ARIZONA
🟥 Trump: 52.3% (+6.5)
🟦 Harris: 45.8%
—
NEVADA
🟥 Trump: 51.5% (+5.5)
🟦 Harris: 46.0%
—
NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump: 50.5% (+3.4)
🟦 Harris: 47.1%
—
GEORGIA
🟥 Trump: 50.1%…
.@Polymarket - PA, AZ, GA & NC (chance of winning)
PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump: 56%
🟦 Harris: 44%
—
ARIZONA
🟥 Trump: 63%
🟦 Harris: 37%
—
GEORGIA
🟥 Trump: 63%
🟦 Harris: 37%
—
NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump: 61%
🟦 Harris: 39%
—
https://t.co/BBwAM9…
#Latest @NateSilver538 Forecast (9/8)
🟥 Trump: 63.8% (new high)
🟦 Harris: 36%
——
Swing States: chance of winning
Pennsylvania - 🔴 Trump 64-36%
Michigan - 🔴 Trump 54-46%
Wisconsin - 🔴 Trump 53-47%
Arizona - 🔴 Trump 77-23%
North Carolina …
#Latest @NateSilver538 forecast (chance of winning)
August 23
🟦 Harris: 53.5%
🟥 Trump: 46.1%
September 6
🟥 Trump: 61.5%
🟦 Harris: 38.3%
——
Swing States: chance of winning
Pennsylvania - 🔴 Trump 62-38%
Michigan - 🔴 Trump 52-48%
Wiscons…
#Latest @NateSilver538 forecast (9/5)
Chance of winning
🟥 Trump: 60.1% (highest since 7/30)
🟦 Harris: 39.7%
——
Swing States: chance of winning
Pennsylvania - 🔴 Trump 61-39%
Arizona - 🔴 Trump 73-27%
North Carolina - 🔴 Trump 73-27%
Georgi…
Latest @NateSilver538 forecast (9/3)
Chance of winning
🟥 Trump: 56.7% (highest since 7/31)
🟦 Harris: 43.0%
——
Swing States: chance of winning
Pennsylvania - 🔴 Trump 57-43%
Georgia - 🔴 Trump 64-36%
Arizona - 🔴 Trump 67-33%
North Carolin…
.@Polymarket - PA, AZ, NV, GA & NC (chance of winning)
PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump: 52%
🟦 Harris: 48%
—
ARIZONA
🟥 Trump: 55%
🟦 Harris: 45%
—
NEVADA
🟥 Trump: 54%
🟦 Harris: 46%
—
NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump: 59%
🟦 Harris: 41%
—
GEORGIA
🟥 Trump…
.@Polymarket - Swing States Odds (7/22)
PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Donald Trump: 57%
🟦 Kamala Harris: 43%
—
WISCONSIN
🟥 Donald Trump: 55%
🟦 Kamala Harris: 45%
—
MICHIGAN
🟥 Donald Trump: 53%
🟦 Kamala Harris: 47%
—
ARIZONA
🟥 Donald Trump: 66%
🟦 Kam…
.@Polymarket - Swing States Odds
PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump: 67% (new high)
🟦 Biden: 33%
—
WISCONSIN
🟥 Trump: 65% (new high)
🟦 Biden: 35%
—
MICHIGAN
🟥 Trump: 61% (new high)
🟦 Biden: 39%
—
ARIZONA
🟥 Trump: 78% (new high)
🟦 Biden: 22%
—
NEVA…
💡 Facts
🕵️ Fake follower check
Estimated- Est. 91% real, active audience · Low fake-follower risk.
- Strong engagement (~11.2× of followers engage each post) — an active, real audience.
- Organic base — far more followers than accounts it follows.
- Verified account.
- Established account (5+ years old).
- 8.35% engagement is implausibly high for a X account this size (typ. ~2.2%) — a red flag for engagement pods or bought likes/comments.
Heuristic estimate from engagement, follower ratios, account age & growth — a screening signal, not a guarantee.
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🔀 Audience overlap
EstimatedEstimated shared audience with similar creators — useful for avoiding overlap (or doubling down) when planning a campaign.
Michael Ealy
17%
Paul's Hardware
14%
Conscious Lee
14%
crabstickz
13%
Jake Foushee
13%
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11%
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