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19.8K views
Prediction markets already function as a live read on Fed policy.
The chart shows implied expected Fed cuts for 2025, Kalshi vs Polymarket, updated daily. The two venues move within a tight band of each other most of the year, with the widest gap opening up around April 2025.
19.1K views
Today's US jobs report: consensus and major banks mostly see July unemployment at 4.2% (MUFG, PNC, Wells, Deutsche).
@UBS & @GoldmanSachs lean 4.3% and prediction markets agree: @Kalshi 4.3% at 31% vs 4.2% at 30%; @Polymarket 4.3% at 35% vs 4.2% at 33%
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15.5K views
London accounts for about 70% of global gold trading volume. The FCA is now building a framework to regulate the tokenised version.
The entire tokenised gold market is roughly $4.5B:
XAUT (Tether) · $2.48B
PAXG (Paxos) · $1.89B
PGOLD (Pleasing Gold) · $78.8M
XAUm (Matrixdock) ·
📊 Post performance
🔥 Top post: The line between crypto and finance is closing. SEC clearing ag · 51.4K views
📊 Activity & format
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US CPI lands Wednesday, one of the last major data points before the Sept 15–16 FOMC.
Consensus is 3.4% YoY. @Vanguard_Group says 3.3%.
Prediction markets ($2.9M in volume combined) have been drifting toward Vanguard: while 3.4% leads (4…
London accounts for about 70% of global gold trading volume. The FCA is now building a framework to regulate the tokenised version.
The entire tokenised gold market is roughly $4.5B:
XAUT (Tether) · $2.48B
PAXG (Paxos) · $1.89B
PGOLD (Pl…
Prediction markets already function as a live read on Fed policy.
The chart shows implied expected Fed cuts for 2025, Kalshi vs Polymarket, updated daily. The two venues move within a tight band of each other most of the year, with the wi…
Today's US jobs report: consensus and major banks mostly see July unemployment at 4.2% (MUFG, PNC, Wells, Deutsche).
@UBS & @GoldmanSachs lean 4.3% and prediction markets agree: @Kalshi 4.3% at 31% vs 4.2% at 30%; @Polymarket 4.3% at …
Most stablecoin research measures supply. @beincrypto went further, and using Dune, they timed how long a withdrawn balance survives in Latin America before it moves again. Half of it is gone within 11 days, and only 6% of wallets leave on…
💡 Facts
🕵️ Fake follower check
Estimated- Est. 66% real, active audience · Medium fake-follower risk.
- Low engagement (~2.4% of followers engage each post) — a sign of an inflated or inactive audience.
- Organic base — far more followers than accounts it follows.
- Established account (7+ years old).
- 0.02% engagement — below the ~14.4% typical for this size.
Heuristic estimate from engagement, follower ratios, account age & growth — a screening signal, not a guarantee.
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🔀 Audience overlap
EstimatedEstimated shared audience with similar creators — useful for avoiding overlap (or doubling down) when planning a campaign.
ゆいまり🧽🦦
18%
外交部 Ministry of Foreign Affairs, ROC (Taiwan) 🇹🇼
18%
三原じゅん子
17%
NEON
16%
Financial Express
15%
Shivraj Singh Chouhan
12%
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