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Mastodon @peterdutoit@mastodon.green

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Followers

2.4K

Account age

4 yrs

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Known for

“I thought I would have time to prepare.”
IPCC 2023: “ High risks are now assessed to occur at lower global warming levels.”
We continue to underestimate the risk as we reach 1.5°C of heating. For the most part we are not prepared.
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/economy/article/2026/07/19/an-organic-farmer-s-dismay-at-the-speed-of-climate-change-i-thought-i-would-have-time-to-prepare_6755633_19.html

148 views “I thought I would have time to prepare.” IPCC 2023: “ High risks are now assessed to occur at lower global warming levels.” We continue to underestimate the risk as we reach 1.5°C of heating. For the most part we are not prepared. https://www.lemonde.fr/en/economy/article/2026/07/19/an-organic-farmer-s-dismay-at-the-speed-of-climate-change-i-thought-i-would-have-time-to-prepare_6755633_19.html

The El Niño’s engine room is still firing on all cylinders. Upper-ocean heat in 180–100°W surges past 2.5°C, fueling the intensifying event. Brace for impact.

19 views The El Niño’s engine room is still firing on all cylinders. Upper-ocean heat in 180–100°W surges past 2.5°C, fueling the intensifying event. Brace for impact.

“The 2026 global SST surpasses the 2024 global SST by mid-June; thus, given the lag, 2024 might remain warmer than 2026 in July, but the final five months of the year should have 2026 as warmer than
2024. We expect the gap in the stretch run (November, December) to be so large as to (unfortunately) make 2026 the hottest year - until 2027, which will be even hotter.”—Hansen et al
Source: https://ww

11 views “The 2026 global SST surpasses the 2024 global SST by mid-June; thus, given the lag, 2024 might remain warmer than 2026 in July, but the final five months of the year should have 2026 as warmer than 2024. We expect the gap in the stretch run (November, December) to be so large as to (unfortunately) make 2026 the hottest year - until 2027, which will be even hotter.”—Hansen et al Source: https://ww

The CCSR/IRI Multi-Model Probability Forecast (issued July) for Precipitation and Temperature for South Africa covering Aug-Jan 2027
It looks like later in the year the chances of very strong El Niño hitting us hard is substantial.
Brace for impact.
Full global forecast: https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/seasonal-climate-forecasts/

5 views The CCSR/IRI Multi-Model Probability Forecast (issued July) for Precipitation and Temperature for South Africa covering Aug-Jan 2027 It looks like later in the year the chances of very strong El Niño hitting us hard is substantial. Brace for impact. Full global forecast: https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/seasonal-climate-forecasts/

📊 Post engagement

📊 Activity & format

Posting cadence

7.1 / week

Toots daily — consistently active for a campaign window.

Content mix

Mostly text

Recent: 8 text · 4 image · 0 video.

Follower / following

8.1×

Follows 301 back. A strong ratio — an audience that follows them, not a follow-for-follow network.

Recent posts

View on Mastodon ↗

🔥 Top post “I thought I would have time to prepare.” IPCC 2023: “ High risks are now assessed to occur at lower global warming levels.” We continue to underestimate the risk as we reach 1.5°C of heating. For the most part we are not prepared. https://www.lemonde.fr/en/economy/article/2026/… ★ 148

ICYMI Europe as we are about to cross 1.5°C permanently. Reminder of this from the IPCC in 2023: “Risks are increasing with every increment of warming. High risks are now assessed to occur at lower global warming levels.” https://www.seve… ★ 11

The El Niño’s engine room is still firing on all cylinders. Upper-ocean heat in 180–100°W surges past 2.5°C, fueling the intensifying event. Brace for impact. ★ 19

“The 2026 global SST surpasses the 2024 global SST by mid-June; thus, given the lag, 2024 might remain warmer than 2026 in July, but the final five months of the year should have 2026 as warmer than 2024. We expect the gap in the stretch r… ★ 11 Reminder from Hansen et al (April 2026) “We infer that 2026 is likely to be the warmest year in the period of instrumental data, based on a physics-based approach with identifiable assumptions. This approach may help us learn something in … ★ 5 And so the El Niño chaos begins: “Weeklong rainstorms blamed on El Niño have killed at least 10 people in Chile, with emergency teams racing on Tuesday to reach more than 100,000 residents stranded by flash floods” https://apnews.com/artic… ★ 19 Disinformation allies: “The United States and Russia, two state actors spreading climate disinformation in Europe.” https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20260720-foreign-state-actors-exploiting-climate-crises-spread-disinformation ★ 14 Dispatch from the #ClimateCrisis frontlines https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/jul/20/weather-tracker-flooding-landslides-asia-vietnam-southern-china-south-korea ★ 4 This mid-2026. What happens in 2027 when the El Niño impacts arrive in full force? This all at ~1.5°C of heating and ~427 ppm CO2 “Spain is bracing for what meteorologists warn could be one of the most intense and dangerous early-summer th… ★ 39 “The last time the Netherlands hit a Level 2 water shortage was in 2022. If the drought continues, the assessment could be elevated to a Level 3, which is considered a national crisis. That last happened in 2003.” https://www.dutchnews.nl/… ★ 6 WTF check this from the president of the country that has produced more atmospheric pollution than any other on earth, which is directly linked to causing the conditions that make wild fires more likely and more intense. Everyone should be… ★ 3

The CCSR/IRI Multi-Model Probability Forecast (issued July) for Precipitation and Temperature for South Africa covering Aug-Jan 2027 It looks like later in the year the chances of very strong El Niño hitting us hard is substantial. Brace f… ★ 5

🐘 Community & instance

Home server

mastodon.green

Their home server on the fediverse — the instance a creator picks signals the community they belong to.

✅ Link-verified

Verified link

Proved ownership of a website linked on their profile — Mastodon's green-check verification, a real identity signal rather than a paid badge.

On Mastodon since

Apr 2022

An established account with real history on the platform.

💡 Facts

🗓️Joined Mastodon in 2022 — 4 years ago.

👁️Averages 24 views per post.

📤Posts about 7.1× per week.

🕵️ Fake follower check

Estimated

52/100

Fair Credibility score

76%

Mixed Real audience

Medium Fake-follower risk

High Data confidence

Est. 76% real, active audience · Medium fake-follower risk.
Low engagement (~1.0% of followers engage each post) — a sign of an inflated or inactive audience.
Verified account.
Established account (4+ years old).

Heuristic estimate from engagement, follower ratios, account age & growth — a screening signal, not a guarantee.

💚 Brand affinity

Estimated

Brands Peter du Toit's audience is most likely to respond to — from detected sponsorships in this niche.

Columbia Law School

The Guardian

About

𝗙𝗼𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿: FutureClimate IQ | I speak about climate futures, mitigation and adaptation in the face of the climate crisis I am a huge fan of ephemeral social media, so my posts delete after 30 days. Content that I want around longer will be on my blog.

📸 Gallery

🔀 Audience overlap

Estimated

Estimated shared audience with similar creators — useful for avoiding overlap (or doubling down) when planning a campaign.

Rob van Kan 35%

Robert J. Berger 34%

Jenny Andrew 33%

65dBnoise 18%

B.ella 17%

Jef Poskanzer 10%

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🏆 Awards & milestones

Next: 🟣 10K Followers — 7.6K followers to go

🛡️ Brand safety

✅Brand-safe90/100

✓ Verified / Partner account
✓ Established channel (4+ yrs)

A heuristic signal for brands from public data & recent titles — not a moderation verdict.

Details

PlatformMastodon

JoinedApr 2022 · 4 yrs

Followers2,442

Updated11 hours ago

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Known for

📊 Post engagement

📊 Activity & format

Recent posts

🐘 Community & instance

💡 Facts

🕵️ Fake follower check

💚 Brand affinity

About

📸 Gallery

🔀 Audience overlap

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