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Jeff Tucker

Jeff Tucker Add us as a preferred source on Google

Mastodon @jefftucker@econtwitter.net
⚔ Compare ☆ Follow Own this channel?
🔄 Data last refreshed 7 hours ago
Followers
45
Account age
3 yrs
🎁 Free analysisfor Jeff Tucker
🕵️Fake Followers CheckReal-audience % & bot risk→ 📊Engagement rateBenchmarked vs. peers→ 💰What they chargeFair sponsored-post price→

📊 Activity & format

Posting cadence
71.4 / week
A very active account — posts many times a day.
Content mix
Mostly images
Recent: 1 text · 9 image · 0 video.
Follower / following
0.2×
Follows 206 back. A more reciprocal / networked account.

Recent posts

View on Mastodon ↗
That stallout in inventory growth, coupled with green shoots on mortgage costs, are the main reasons for our relatively bullish forecast of a roughly flat price trajectory in the year ahead. One final indicator of a potential bottom for ma… Oops broke the thread. See my profile for the mortgage chart (8). Payments are still up 66% YoY though. One nice real-time barometer of the housing market is active inventory, which is a crude measure of "net supply". When the flow of new … What has depressed demand so much? The affordability shock! The mortgage payment on a typical-valued home, after 20% down, at end-of-month mortgage rates, was 66% higher in November than last November. But at least that's down slightly fro… The weaker demand also shows up in newly pending listings, our most real-time indicator of sales volume. That is down about 35% from this time last year, though that YoY decline is slightly smaller than we saw a few weeks ago, perhaps indi… The proximate cause of falling prices is that sellers are seeing very low demand. That leaves homes stuck on the market for longer -- e.g., median days to pending is now up from 12 this time last year to 26 as of December 10. (note that is… And while our national price index has only fallen 0.5% from its June peak, many Western markets have fallen from about 7% to 10% from their local peak values, usually in April or May of this year. 5/ But the placid surface of a national price index on, roughly, a plateau, masks tremendous variation around the country. At the moment, YoY price changes in just the top 20 metros range from -1% in SF to +23% in Miami, ranging around a nati… Here's our year-ahead forecast, with about a 1% YoY decline in June. Some experimental, alternate versions of our price index and forecast pin the biggest YoY forecast drop, in June, closer to 4%. 3/ Our national price index basically looks like a plateau, and our forecast is for that to approximately continue in the year ahead, though I wouldn't be surprised by YoY changes anywhere from 0 to -5%; maybe -9 or -10%. Mid-December housing market update 🧵 The Zillow Home Value Index fell again in November; prices in some Western markets have fallen 10% from their local peaks in Q2; SF and Austin prices are now down slightly YoY. Sales activity is incre…

🐘 Community & instance

Home server
econtwitter.net
Their home server on the fediverse — the instance a creator picks signals the community they belong to.
On Mastodon since
Nov 2022
Joined in the Twitter-exodus wave of late 2022 — part of the migration that made Mastodon a real destination.

💡 Facts

🗓️Joined Mastodon in 2022 — 3 years ago.
📤Posts about 71.4× per week.

🕵️ Fake follower check

Estimated
55/100
Fair Credibility score
~80%
Real Real audience
Low Fake-follower risk
Low Data confidence
  • Est. 80% real, active audience · Low fake-follower risk.
  • Limited engagement data — score uses the signals available.
  • Established account (3+ years old).

Low confidence — few signals are public for this listing, so treat it as a rough screen. Heuristic estimate from engagement, follower ratios, account age & growth — a screening signal, not a guarantee.

About

Housing market economist at a Seattle-based real estate website company. Views are my own.

📸 Gallery

That stallout in inventory growth, coupled with green shoots on mortgage costs, are the main reasons for our relatively bullish forecast of a roughly flat price trajectory in the year ahead. One final indicator of a potential bottom for markets this winter is that the share of listings with a price cut has fallen dramatically since peaking above 10% in late October. In short, it's a very dark time Oops broke the thread. See my profile for the mortgage chart (8). Payments are still up 66% YoY though. One nice real-time barometer of the housing market is active inventory, which is a crude measure of "net supply". When the flow of new listings exceeds the flow of sales and de-listings, it rises, putting downward pressure on prices. We saw it rise rapidly this year to 2020 levels, but it is has What has depressed demand so much? The affordability shock! The mortgage payment on a typical-valued home, after 20% down, at end-of-month mortgage rates, was 66% higher in November than last November. But at least that's down slightly from October's 74% YoY increase. 8/ The weaker demand also shows up in newly pending listings, our most real-time indicator of sales volume. That is down about 35% from this time last year, though that YoY decline is slightly smaller than we saw a few weeks ago, perhaps indicating that the activity slowdown has stopped deepening. Time will tell. 7/ The proximate cause of falling prices is that sellers are seeing very low demand. That leaves homes stuck on the market for longer -- e.g., median days to pending is now up from 12 this time last year to 26 as of December 10. (note that is still faster than the 36 seen at this time on the eve of the pandemic). 6/ And while our national price index has only fallen 0.5% from its June peak, many Western markets have fallen from about 7% to 10% from their local peak values, usually in April or May of this year. 5/ But the placid surface of a national price index on, roughly, a plateau, masks tremendous variation around the country. At the moment, YoY price changes in just the top 20 metros range from -1% in SF to +23% in Miami, ranging around a national change of 10.4% YoY. 4/ Here's our year-ahead forecast, with about a 1% YoY decline in June. Some experimental, alternate versions of our price index and forecast pin the biggest YoY forecast drop, in June, closer to 4%. 3/

🔀 Audience overlap

Estimated

Estimated shared audience with similar creators — useful for avoiding overlap (or doubling down) when planning a campaign.

Michael Swaine Michael Swaine 18% James Donohoe James Donohoe 17% Richie McCoy aka Dr Deej Richie McCoy aka Dr Deej 16% Boris Veytsman Boris Veytsman 16% Morgan Morgan 15% Blobster Blobster 14%

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Jeff Tucker has 45 followers on Mastodon.

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