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Jason Smith

Jason Smith Add us as a preferred source on Google

Mastodon @infotranecon@econtwitter.net
⚔ Compare ☆ Follow Own this channel?
🔄 Data last refreshed 2 days ago
Followers
52
Account age
3 yrs
🎁 Free analysisfor Jason Smith
🕵️Fake Followers CheckReal-audience % & bot risk→ 📊Engagement rateBenchmarked vs. peers→ 💰What they chargeFair sponsored-post price→

Known for

The economic problem is about there being too much information that’s too dynamic to aggregate — however, per Hayek, the price system *also* fails to aggregate that information because it is in fact too much that’s too dynamic. It’s just kind of a “trust me — it’s the relevant information” https://infoeqm.substack.com/p/on-hayeks-the-use-of-knowledge-in4 views The economic problem is about there being too much information that’s too dynamic to aggregate — however, per Hayek, the price system *also* fails to aggregate that information because it is in fact too much that’s too dynamic. It’s just kind of a “trust me — it’s the relevant information” https://infoeqm.substack.com/p/on-hayeks-the-use-of-knowledge-in forecasting an increase in "core" U3 (U3 minus temporary layoffs), but *no idea* how much — best guess based on JOLTS data is that we eventually reach the pre-stimulus equilibrium (gray band with dashed line) and start to fall back down. Incidentally that is what the average of the monte carlo does.1 views forecasting an increase in "core" U3 (U3 minus temporary layoffs), but *no idea* how much — best guess based on JOLTS data is that we eventually reach the pre-stimulus equilibrium (gray band with dashed line) and start to fall back down. Incidentally that is what the average of the monte carlo does. Ad hominem, for lack of a better word, is good https://infoeqm.substack.com/p/ad-hominem-for-lack-of-a-better-word1 views Ad hominem, for lack of a better word, is good https://infoeqm.substack.com/p/ad-hominem-for-lack-of-a-better-word New substack: Polycrisis, complex systems, and trust https://infoeqm.substack.com/p/polycrisis-complex-systems-and-trust There is something to the idea of a new kind of systemic failure — polycrisis — arising from complexity of human institutions.1 views New substack: Polycrisis, complex systems, and trust https://infoeqm.substack.com/p/polycrisis-complex-systems-and-trust There is something to the idea of a new kind of systemic failure — polycrisis — arising from complexity of human institutions.

📊 Post engagement

Recent posts · likes + reposts
Jan 31latest
2
Avg engagement / post
1–1
Typical post (engagement)
3.8%
Engagement vs followers
66/100
Consistent reach
Dec 2022
On Mastodon since
Half of recent posts land between 1 and 1 likes + reposts (median 1) — a dependable floor a sponsored post can count on.

🔥 Top post: The economic problem is about there being too much information t · 4 likes + reposts

📊 Activity & format

Posting cadence
0.5 / week
A lower-frequency account — each post lands with more weight.
Content mix
Mostly images
Recent: 4 text · 8 image · 0 video.
Follower / following
1.6×
Follows 33 back. A more reciprocal / networked account.

Recent posts

View on Mastodon ↗
🔥 Top post The economic problem is about there being too much information that’s too dynamic to aggregate — however, per Hayek, the price system *also* fails to aggregate that information because it is in fact too much that’s too dynamic. It’s just kind of a “trust me — it’s the relevant i… ★ 4
forecasting an increase in "core" U3 (U3 minus temporary layoffs), but *no idea* how much — best guess based on JOLTS data is that we eventually reach the pre-stimulus equilibrium (gray band with dashed line) and start to fall back down. I… ★ 1 jolts data out today — looks like we are nearing the end of this shock and returning to the equilibrium rate of increase, but at a lower level than the projected pre-pandemic equilibrium Ad hominem, for lack of a better word, is good https://infoeqm.substack.com/p/ad-hominem-for-lack-of-a-better-word ★ 1 It's a big post with a lot more: the noise floor ending, labor force participation reaching new highs, and hours worked appear directly linked to wages ★ 1 Apparently twitter is now blocking substack; here's my latest about a possible recession signal in the "core" unemployment data (U3 minus temporary layoffs) https://infoeqm.substack.com/p/employment-situation-core-unemployment New substack: Polycrisis, complex systems, and trust https://infoeqm.substack.com/p/polycrisis-complex-systems-and-trust There is something to the idea of a new kind of systemic failure — polycrisis — arising from complexity of human insti… ★ 1 People saying "where's this purported recession?" but seems from the data it shouldn't be showing up quite yet anyway. Next few months would be more informative, but right now it's just uncertainty. guess this is throwback thursday lol Latest data basically showing the same story of macro conditions as the past several months. Post-stimulus positive shock fading and negative shock visible in JOLTS not yet translating to other observables (except possibly wage growth). In… Moved office recently and this little book was resting on top of a pile of others. Until the advent of wikipedia, it was probably the most frequently opened book in my life from the 90s to the early 00s. No larger message; just props to a … Substack has LaTeX now https://twitter.com/SubstackInc/status/1615409306685550594?s=20&t=JfetUyS-Bou12Qdx7s3Klg

🐘 Community & instance

Home server
econtwitter.net
Their home server on the fediverse — the instance a creator picks signals the community they belong to.
On Mastodon since
Dec 2022
Joined in the Twitter-exodus wave of late 2022 — part of the migration that made Mastodon a real destination.

💡 Facts

🗓️Joined Mastodon in 2022 — 3 years ago.
👁️Averages 2 views per post.
📤Posts about 0.5× per week.

🕵️ Fake follower check

Estimated
66/100
Good Credibility score
89%
Real Real audience
Low Fake-follower risk
High Data confidence
  • Est. 89% real, active audience · Low fake-follower risk.
  • Engagement (~3.8% of followers engage each post) is around typical for Mastodon.
  • Established account (3+ years old).

Heuristic estimate from engagement, follower ratios, account age & growth — a screening signal, not a guarantee.

About

Physicist who messes around with economic theory. Author: A Random Physicist Takes on Economics + A Workers' History of the United States. He/Him.

📸 Gallery

forecasting an increase in "core" U3 (U3 minus temporary layoffs), but *no idea* how much — best guess based on JOLTS data is that we eventually reach the pre-stimulus equilibrium (gray band with dashed line) and start to fall back down. Incidentally that is what the average of the monte carlo does. jolts data out today — looks like we are nearing the end of this shock and returning to the equilibrium rate of increase, but at a lower level than the projected pre-pandemic equilibrium Ad hominem, for lack of a better word, is good https://infoeqm.substack.com/p/ad-hominem-for-lack-of-a-better-word The economic problem is about there being too much information that’s too dynamic to aggregate — however, per Hayek, the price system *also* fails to aggregate that information because it is in fact too much that’s too dynamic. It’s just kind of a “trust me — it’s the relevant information” https://infoeqm.substack.com/p/on-hayeks-the-use-of-knowledge-in Apparently twitter is now blocking substack; here's my latest about a possible recession signal in the "core" unemployment data (U3 minus temporary layoffs) https://infoeqm.substack.com/p/employment-situation-core-unemployment New substack: Polycrisis, complex systems, and trust https://infoeqm.substack.com/p/polycrisis-complex-systems-and-trust There is something to the idea of a new kind of systemic failure — polycrisis — arising from complexity of human institutions. Latest data basically showing the same story of macro conditions as the past several months. Post-stimulus positive shock fading and negative shock visible in JOLTS not yet translating to other observables (except possibly wage growth). Initial claims still on the "noise floor" so nothing informative there. https://infoeqm.substack.com/p/latest-data-telling-the-same-story Moved office recently and this little book was resting on top of a pile of others. Until the advent of wikipedia, it was probably the most frequently opened book in my life from the 90s to the early 00s. No larger message; just props to a concise reference.

🔀 Audience overlap

Estimated

Estimated shared audience with similar creators — useful for avoiding overlap (or doubling down) when planning a campaign.

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