Fergus Ryan Add us as a preferred source on Google
🔄 Data last refreshed 1 month ago
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Make a deal with Fergus Ryan
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Followers
355
Account age
3 yrs
💰 Suggested sponsorship rate
$40 – $65 / sponsored post
Estimated from audience size & typical reach — every deal is negotiable and held in SocialDB escrow.
🎁 Free analysisfor Fergus Ryan
📊 Post engagement
Recent posts · likes + reposts
Jun 26latest
2
Avg engagement / post
1–3
Typical post (engagement)
0.6%
Engagement vs followers
76/100
Very consistent reach
Dec 2022
On Mastodon since
Half of recent posts land between 1 and 3 likes + reposts (median 1) — a dependable floor a sponsored post can count on.
🔥 Top post: 👍 https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/23/white-house-says-will · 3 likes + reposts
📊 Activity & format
Posting cadence
1.8 / week
A lower-frequency account — each post lands with more weight.
Content mix
Mostly text
Recent: 12 text · 0 image · 0 video.
Follower / following
1.7×
Follows 209 back. A more reciprocal / networked account.
Recent posts
View on Mastodon ↗
I argued in Feb that prediction markets could be a rare open-source window into Chinese elite politics. https://redpacket.substack.com/p/prediction-markets-are-heading-for
The WSJ now reports China has one already: insiders selling advance…
What are the best things to read about Nolan’s The Odyssey?
🤣
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/elon-musk-grok-odyssey-movie-ai-homer-x-post-feature-nolan-1236653824/
“But it’s very important to distinguish influence operations, which target opinions, from interference, which targets the machinery of voting,” Ryan said.
“I’ve seen nothing around President Trump’s claims that bridges the gap between hol…
My comments for the WSJ about the White House's release of files relating to the 2020 election:
“Beijing’s appetite for bulk data on foreign populations is well documented. Much American voter data is legally purchasable in the first pla…
Xi Jinping now has so many nicknames that anti-CCP satire account GFWfrog has built a website to catalogue them.
It launched with 100 entries and is aiming for 8,964—a reference to 4 June 1989.
https://xjp.gfwfrog.com
Interesting tidbit in this rare Chinese MeToo court victory: the victim says she only felt her suffering was acknowledged after talking to DeepSeek.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jul/03/china-woman-sexual-harassment-me-too-court-v…
DeepSeek are looking for engineers “with an attacker’s perspective,” to build an AI agent that can “discover attack surfaces and construct attack paths.”
Great find by my colleague Alex Colville.
https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/deepseek…
Good to see Chinese stand-up comedian Chizi, banned at home for refusing to stay inside the lines, plans on taking his act to Australia.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2x01q21wlo
A US$200 AI plan today buys around US$8k of Claude Code tokens. Someone's paying the difference, & it isn't the customer.
When the subsidy ends, the world won't run on the most powerful models. It'll run on the cheapest good-enough ones.
…
The AI supply-chain fight is no longer just about chips. It’s about whether Washington can convince partners that access to frontier models won’t vanish overnight.
https://www.scmp.com/news/us/article/3358397/us-assures-india-over-ai-kill-…
🐘 Community & instance
Home server
aus.social
A Australia server — its members and audience skew toward that niche, so expect a community-aligned, engaged following.
On Mastodon since
Dec 2022
Joined in the Twitter-exodus wave of late 2022 — part of the migration that made Mastodon a real destination.
💡 Facts
🗓️Joined Mastodon in 2022 — 3 years ago.
👁️Averages 2 views per post.
📤Posts about 1.8× per week.
🕵️ Fake follower check
Estimated43/100
Fair
Credibility score
73%
Mixed
Real audience
Medium
Fake-follower risk
High
Data confidence
- Est. 73% real, active audience · Medium fake-follower risk.
- Low engagement (~0.6% of followers engage each post) — a sign of an inflated or inactive audience.
- Established account (3+ years old).
Heuristic estimate from engagement, follower ratios, account age & growth — a screening signal, not a guarantee.
💚 Brand affinity
EstimatedBrands Fergus Ryan's audience is most likely to respond to — from detected sponsorships in this niche.
About
China analyst
Crossposting everywhere but hanging out at 🦋 http://fergus.bsky.social
Join my newsletter: 🧧http://redpacket.substack.com
🔀 Audience overlap
EstimatedEstimated shared audience with similar creators — useful for avoiding overlap (or doubling down) when planning a campaign.
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Fergus Ryan has 355 followers on Mastodon.
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